MARKET RESEARCH & SCENARIOS

Market Ideas

Scenario-based market setups with key levels, invalidation, and risk context.

For educational and research purposes only.

Example Scenario Daily (1D)

SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Bullish Setup

Method Elliott Wave + Fibonacci

Risk Level Defined Risk

Published Oct 12, 2026

Scenario

Hypothetical Wave (4) pullback seeking structural support at the 0.382 retracement zone before a potential Wave (5) continuation.

Trigger / Key Level

Confirmed 4H candle close above Prior Swing High [Resistance Pivot A]

Invalidation

Daily close below Key Structural Low [Support Level B]

Target Zone

Fibonacci Extension 1.000 - 1.272 Cluster [Upper Resistance Range]

Active Updated 2d ago

Example Scenario 4-Hour (4H)

NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

Bullish Setup

Method Structure Break & Retest

Risk Level Moderate Risk

Published Oct 11, 2026

Scenario

Watching for an orderly consolidation retest above the primary breakout pivot to confirm support retention.

Trigger / Key Level

Bullish rejection wick on retest of Breakout Line [Pivot Level C]

Invalidation

Sustained hourly breakdown below Local Swing Low [Level D]

Target Zone

Secondary Liquidity Range [Target Zone E]

Watching Awaiting Trigger

Example Scenario 60-Min (1H)

AAPL Apple Inc.

Watchlist

Method Wyckoff Accumulation & Volume

Risk Level Defined Risk

Published Oct 10, 2026

Scenario

Range-bound consolidation displaying contraction in sell volume near range low; evaluating potential Spring test setup.

Trigger / Key Level

High-volume reversal bar reclaiming Range Value Low [Level F]

Invalidation

Decisive expansion breakdown below Trading Range Base [Level G]

Target Zone

Trading Range Value High [Upper Bound H]

Watching Monitoring Volume

Example Scenario Daily (1D)

TSLA Tesla, Inc.

Bearish Setup

Method Corrective Flat Pattern (Elliott Wave)

Risk Level Elevated Risk

Published Oct 08, 2026

Scenario

Expanded Wave B peak displaying momentum divergence; projecting a potential corrective Wave C toward prior support shelf.

Trigger / Key Level

Breakdown and hourly close below Diagonal Trendline [Pivot J]

Invalidation

New swing high above Wave B Peak [Structural Resistance K]

Target Zone

Wave C Equal-Legs Projection [Lower Support Shelf L]

Active In Development

Example Scenario 4-Hour (4H)

MSFT Microsoft Corporation

Bullish Setup

Method Wave 3 Impulse Extension

Risk Level Defined Risk

Published Sep 28, 2026

Scenario

Example completed educational scenario where initial impulse wave met structural target band and consolidated.

Trigger / Key Level

Break above Channel Upper Boundary [Pivot M]

Invalidation

Violation of Wave 1 Peak [Level N]

Target Zone

161.8% Fibonacci Projection [Zone P] (Reached)

Completed Target Reached

Example Scenario 60-Min (1H)

AMD Advanced Micro Devices

Bearish Setup

Method Head & Shoulders Top Breakdown

Risk Level Moderate Risk

Published Sep 25, 2026

Scenario

Educational scenario demonstrating strict risk management: price invalidated the setup by closing back above the right shoulder pivot.

Trigger / Key Level

Neckline Breakdown Confirmation [Level Q]

Invalidation

Hourly bar close above Right Shoulder [Level R] (Triggered)

Target Zone

Measured Move Depth [Support Shelf S]

Invalidated Risk Preserved

No ideas found for this filter

Select another filter to view example scenarios.

MARKET RESEARCH & SCENARIOS

How Market Ideas Work

Every idea is published as an objective scenario with explicit parameters, built for educational research and full transparency.

1. Scenario-Based Research

We publish hypothetical setups based on technical structure, Elliott Wave counts, and volume profile — never trade calls, signals, or guaranteed recommendations.

2. Invalidation Defined First

Every scenario specifies upfront the exact structural price point that invalidates the premise, reinforcing risk management before potential upside.

3. Predefined Trigger Levels

Ideas require confirmed price action (such as breakout retests or volume validation) at key pivot zones before shifting from Watching to Active status.

4. Transparent Lifecycle & Track Record

Scenarios progress openly through Active, Watching, Completed, or Invalidated stages, and will be archived in the upcoming Track Record section.